Caucasus
As Russia’s war against Ukraine continues to preoccupy the Kremlin, there are signs of hope in the South Caucasus.
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June 7, 2022
While the Cat’s Away: EU Advances South Caucasus Peace
As Russia’s war against Ukraine continues to preoccupy the Kremlin, there are signs of hope in the South Caucasus.
May 2, 2022
Revolution in the South Caucasus
While the Kremlin is busy in the west, developments to the south promise further threats to its aggressive policy in the borderlands.
April 7, 2022
South Caucasus Shudder in the Shadow of Russia’s War
Balancing is the most commonplace word in the South Caucasus. This is how the three states approach the war Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
March 30, 2022
The Kremlin’s Next Targets? Georgia and Moldova
Whatever the outcome of Russia's unwarranted war against Ukraine, its implications for Georgia and Moldova are serious and immediate.
March 3, 2022
Georgia: Balanced on a Knife-Edge
Georgia fears Russian military power but needs to side with the West against Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
February 24, 2022
Putin’s Invasion Playbook All Too Familiar to Georgia
The Russian president’s recognition of breakaway regions as sovereign states followed by an all-out attack is straight out of its Georgia Playbook.
February 16, 2022
Darkness on the Black Sea
The closest observers of the Russian navy’s large-scale drills will be the Ukrainian military, which must consider whether an attack on their coastline is imminent.
February 8, 2022
Russia Deploys Occupation Enforcers Close to Ukraine
If Vladimir Putin does decide to invade Ukraine, units of the notorious Russian Guard, or Rosgvardiya, will follow behind combat units to impose order.
February 3, 2022
Kremlin at War? Supporting Ukraine, Defending the International Order
"The threat from Russia is real and it is growing. While a new Russian offensive is not imminent, I fear it is increasingly likely."